EMERGENT TECHNOLOGIES -by Gautam Shah
Emerging technologies are those technical innovations which represent
progressive developments within a field for competitive advantage. The era
defining phrases such as Stone Age, Bronze Age, and Steel Age succinctly tell a
story.
Technology is relevant on following counts
● Materials
● Conversion Processes
● Deployment Design
● Termination Processes
Technologies begin to be relevant, simultaneously on several of these counts.
A challenge emerges on one of these counts, and the whole process gets a
rethink. New materials have been conceived and devised because conversion
processes demand the change, deployment design offers new opportunities, or
the termination processes force a re-validation.
New materials emerge from technical up-gradation, development of
new combinations, use of different processing methods, revolutionary
deployment design and new concerns regarding cost-benefits,
conservation, sustainability, disposal, recycling, etc.
New Processes are needed to meet needs for varied forms, shapes and
sizes in design fields. It is advantageous to move over to new materials,
then to waste time and effort in fine tuning the current materials. There
are also tendencies to move from speculative to guaranteed performance
as much as taking up risks associated with new things.
Deployment Design was till now based on planner and spatial
geometric configurations. It is now increasingly relying on understanding
of natural forms and their behaviour (biometric), Neural networks,
Molecular structures like DNA, cell and crystal formations, Galactic space
bodies and Energy modelling.
Termination Processes were always very important for human
interventions, such as: Building sites, large human settlements, war
zones, areas of natural calamities and diseases. These places had to be
abandoned wasting geo-political advantage, or expending the effort for
a fresh start at a new location. Modern day activities are planned with
concerns like conservation, preservation, recycling, safe-disposal,
recovery of fringe benefits, etc.
EMERGENT TECHNOLOGIES are operative as:
1 Miniaturization
2 Regulated processing
3 Multi lateral or functional operations
4 Convergent technologies
5 Quantum jumping
6 Systems thinking
7 Specificity and Localization
8 Generality and Universalization
9 Tools, Handling, Reach capacities
10 Cross over absorption of technologies
1 Miniaturization
It works primarily as mass versus weight factor resulting in energy versus benefit
ratio. In buildings it results as a space saving and handling factor. In certain
circumstances the loss of the second (width) and third (depth or height)
dimension makes an entity of nearly zero mass (embedded transistors in a
printed circuit, CCDs, metallized film, etc.).
2 Regulated processing
Regulated processing conditions the response time and in many circumstances
recovery time. These technologies were used in controlling the reverse action,
bounce back or impact absorption, but are used in transfer systems such as
elevators, walkways, conveyors, controls for gadgets, vibratory conditions,
acoustics, climate control, etc. Regulated processing was once upon a time on
simultaneous or synchronous movement control. One movement system (like a
turning shaft) turned several sub systems through sprockets, gears and levers.
This is now being changed with thyristor controls resulting in nearly no-movement devices.
3 Multi lateral or Multi functional operations
Multi functional processes have faster throughput, accurate and consistent
output. Such plants save space, often operate in inclement environmental
conditions, isolation, hazard prone situations and require no ergonomic
considerations. Some of the known Multi Functional technologies are CNC
machines, work stations, Robotics, Fewer components, Non-moving or passive
operations, Distributed and Localized control systems, Integrated feed forward
and feed back systems.
4 Convergent technologies
We add on technologies to existing systems as these are realized or become
viable. Here there is an inherent sequencing of processes or layering of
applications. Convergent technologies combine several such time and space
relevant technologies. The singular offering has efficiency of integrated working,
fewer components, and a compact design. As this is conceived as a replacement
for existing set, it obviously has a neat and self-sufficient form. Convergent
technologies are deficient in the sense that the solution offered is local, specific
and still only a component-relevant (yet a larger component replacing several
small ones).
5 Quantum jumping
Quantum Jumping is often called a ‘disruptive technology’. It is a radical concept
that replaces one or several technologies. A quantum jumping technology must
become effective very fast. Wireless telephony or mobiles have made a
substantial change.
6 Systems thinking
Systems consist of elements, relationships and a structure or pattern. System
thinking allows one to seamlessly transit from one to another type of system,
and develop a common concept or an inclusive system. It is not a physical entity
but helps in assimilating diverse technologies and orders.
7 Specificity and Localization
There is always a debate, should one be specific and locally relevant? By being
so one saves on effort and redundancy of diversity. It saves on transport and
negates the scope of communication. The former has turned costlier but the
later has become faster, efficient, cheaper and multi mode. Specificity and
localization have a tendency of creating closed ended systems or holistic
architecture. The owner is omni present here and so there is a resistance to
change such as alteration or enhancement. Most arts and crafts are intrinsically
specific.
8 Generality and Universalization
These concepts develop when the creator, or producer is distanced in time and
space from the user. These entities are designed as open ended systems for
wider acceptability (markets-clientele) and longer relevance. Another cause for
this is to create ‘windows’ or slots for upgrades and expansion. A pyramid is not
an extendible form, a cylinder has limited scope for enhancement, but a cubical
form has several sided options. A step further to this thinking is to create
potential nodes where connections can occur as in case of space stations or
Internet.
9 Tools, Handling, Reach capacities
Tools, handling systems and reach capacities have made it possible to deploy
new designs. Last century some amazing tools like under water and argon
welding, flexi drills, pneumatic tools and medical scopes. These capacities and
Robots, Scopes, MMR, sonar and other imaging tools, Flex hand tools, pneumatic
super speed tools, Spark erosion, Automation, control devices, Remote
processing, material removal and mass building linked to 3D modelling.
10 Cross over absorption of technologies
Innovations in a field have more takers in other fields. Space travel innovations
have been very extensively adopted in life sciences, fine chemicals and
agriculture. Advances in Bio-sciences have inspired builders to design biometric
architecture. Digital imaging, remote sensing and global positioning have
collectively opened many new avenues of knowledge. Miniaturization has
brought in drones, bugs, spiders are not just espionage tools but monitors for
conditions inside the body, pipes, atomic reactors, mines and architectural
models. These are some examples how different technologies overlap to
generate a new entity, which in turn is employed in never conceived form. A
technocrat needs to be aware of emergent technologies in other fields.
Otherwise by the time these percolate to their own field, the developments
out-date them.
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